A Winning Day at the Races!

Free Picks & Plays

April 28th, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 13,518/20,735 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,534/20,735. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Sunday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#6 Mama’s Dream 3-5                17 1st $2.70
#2 Stanley Rough 7-2                 15 3rd $2.40
#4 Alpha Sonny 5-1                    14 2nd $4.00
#3 Qorokwe 6-1                           14

Race 2:

#1 Mudville Nine 3-1                 27 2nd $5.70
#6 South Street 4-1                    26 4th
#2 Morning Cup 2-1                   26 1st $5.80
#3 Moving Pictures 12-1           25

Race 3:

#1 Bendoog 7-5                           33 1st $4.00
#6 Lord Captain 8-1                   32
#2 Leading Contender 9-5        32 2nd $2.60
#3 Good Skate 8-1                      31 3rd $4.40

Race 4:

#2 Little Luca 7-2                       324th
#5 Life Changer 5-2                   31
#7 M B’s Munning 4-1               31 1st $4.40
#4 Gentleman Joe 9-2               30 2nd $4.00

Race 5:

#4 Timed Out 2-1                      26 1st $5.70
#9 Peachy Weachy 5-1              25 2nd $4.00 Ex $11
#3 Everlys Girl 5-2                     25 4th
#8 Cupids Girl 10-1                   24

Race 6:

#4 Miss Mottley 3-1                  29
#7 Youknownothing 6-1          28
#2 Sweet Rebecca 9-5               28 1st $3.00
#3 Faith Understood 8-1          27 2nd $8.50

Race 7:

#4 Paschal Moon 10-1             27
#2 Notah 2-1                              27 2nd $4.10
#1 Leonids 9-2                           26 scratched
#6 Clubhouse 7-2                      25

Race 8:

#1 Alexis Zorba (GB) 4-1         31 2nd $4.20
#10 Mischievous Angel 3-1     30 1st $5.70 Ex $24.80
#4 Yarrow 5-1                             29 3rd $2.60 Tri $68.48
#7 Summer in Adriane 12-1    28 4th Spr $578

Race 9:

#8 Italian Mischief 3-1            31
#10 Ez Roll 6-1                          29 3rd $4.70
#4 Be of Courage 7-2                28 1st $7.60
#1 The Paddock Pastor 5-2     28 4th

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  6

Race 2:  1,6,2

Race 3:  1,6,2

Race 4:  2,5 *5 scratched using 2,7

Race 5:  4,9,3

$.50 Ticket:  $27

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  1,6,2

Race 3:  1,6,2

Race 4:  2,5,7,4

Race 5:  4,9,3

$.50 Ticket:  $54

Pick 4 (3-6):

Race 3:  1,6,2

Race 4:  2,5,7,4

Race 5:  4,9,3

Race 6:  4,7,2

$.50 Ticket:  $54

Pick 6:

Race 4:  2,5 *5 scratched using 2,7

Race 5:  4

Race 6:  4,7,2

Race 7:  4,2,1 *1 scratched using 4,2,6

Race 8:  1,10

Race 9:  8

$1.00 Ticket:  $36

Late Pick 5:

Race 5:  4,9,3,8

Race 6:  4,7,2

Race 7:  4,2,1,6

Race 8:  1,10

Race 9:  8,10

$.50 Ticket:  $96

Late Pick 4:

Race 6:  4,7,2,3

Race 7:  4,2,1,6

Race 8:  1,10

Race 9:  8,10,4,11

$.50 Ticket:  $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

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